Braga vs Estrela Amadora Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

78.5%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

BragaLDWLW

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Braga favoured at 60%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.90 goals for Braga and 0.94 for Estrela Amadora, giving 60% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.90 - 0.94
Clean sheet chance: Braga 39%, Estrela Amadora 15%

Match result

1X2

Braga60.2%

Draw21.5%

Estrela Amadora18.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.1

Braga

Strong

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

BragaLast 10 games

Estrela Amadora

1.60Points per game1.20

1.0Goals scored per game1.8

0.8Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Over 2.5 goals80%

40%Both teams scored80%

60%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

BragaLDWLW

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2