Vitória de Guimarães vs Moreirense Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.9%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

Vitória de GuimarãesLDLDL

MoreirenseLDWLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória de Guimarães favoured at 48%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.48 goals for Vitória de Guimarães and 1.02 for Moreirense, giving 48% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.02
Clean sheet chance: Vitória de Guimarães 36%, Moreirense 23%

Match result

1X2

Vitória de Guimarães48.0%

Draw25.7%

Moreirense26.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.7

Vitória de Guimarães

Average

4.9

Moreirense

Average

Vitória de GuimarãesLast 10 games

Moreirense

0.50Points per game0.90

0.5Goals scored per game0.8

1.3Goals conceded per game1.7

20%Over 2.5 goals50%

30%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets20%

60%Failed to score50%

Recent results

Vitória de GuimarãesLDLDL

MoreirenseLDWLL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
4	Benfica	7	+15	16
5▲	Arouca 1-0	8	+4	14
6▼	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora 0-1	8	-1	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2