Algeria vs Somalia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 1Full time
Algeria
3-1
Somalia
Model's readStade de Nelson Mandela
1 73%X 17%2 9%
Our pick Strong
Home Win
73.3%
xG
2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
AlgeriaWLDWL
SomaliaWWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedAlgeria favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.35 goals for Algeria and 0.72 for Somalia, giving 73% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 9% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 13%
- Expected goals: 2.35 - 0.72
- Clean sheet chance: Algeria 49%, Somalia 10%
Match result
1X2Algeria73.3%
Draw17.5%
Somalia9.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Algeria
Above average
5.5
Somalia
Above average
AlgeriaLast 10 gamesSomalia1.70Points per game0.70
1.9Goals scored per game0.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.8
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored20%
40%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score70%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings3
Algeria
0
Draws
0
Somalia
- 9 Oct 25Somalia 0-3 Algeria
- 9 Oct 25Algeria 3-0 Somalia
- 16 Nov 23Algeria 3-1 Somalia