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Sierra Leone vs Djibouti prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF

World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 3Full time

Sierra Leone

2-1

Wed, 5 Jun

Djibouti

Model's readStade Ben M'Hamed El Abdi
1 58%X 23%2 18%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

78.3%

xG

1.9 – 1.0

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →
Sierra LeoneLWDWL
DjiboutiLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Sierra Leone favoured at 58%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.88 goals for Sierra Leone and 0.96 for Djibouti, giving 58% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.88 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: Sierra Leone 38%, Djibouti 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sierra Leone v Djibouti

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sierra Leone58.3%
Draw23.4%
Djibouti18.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.2

Sierra Leone

Average

3.6

Djibouti

Weak

Sierra LeoneLast 10 gamesDjibouti
1.40Points per game0.30
1.1Goals scored per game0.5
1.1Goals conceded per game2.6
30%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score50%

Recent results

Sierra LeoneLWDWL
  • 9 JunALiberia1-3
  • 6 JunHLiberia1-0
  • 30 MarAAzerbaijan1-1
  • 12 OctADjibouti2-1
  • 8 OctHBurkina Faso0-1
  • 9 SeptHEthiopia2-0
DjiboutiLLLLL
  • 12 OctHSierra Leone1-2
  • 8 OctHEgypt0-3
  • 8 SeptAGuinea-Bissau0-2
  • 5 SeptHBurkina Faso0-6
  • 24 MarAEthiopia1-6
  • 21 MarABurkina Faso1-4

Head to head

Last 2 meetings

2

Sierra Leone

0

Draws

0

Djibouti

  • 12 Oct 25Djibouti 1-2 Sierra Leone
  • 5 Jun 24Sierra Leone 2-1 Djibouti
Every meeting between these two →