Guinea-Bissau vs Ethiopia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 3Full time
Guinea-Bissau
0-0
Ethiopia
Model's readEstádio Nacional 24 de Setembro
1 42%X 29%2 30%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
76.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
Guinea-BissauDLLLW
EthiopiaDWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGuinea-Bissau favoured at 42%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.35 goals for Guinea-Bissau and 1.10 for Ethiopia, giving 42% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Guinea-Bissau 33%, Ethiopia 26%
Match result
1X2Guinea-Bissau41.6%
Draw28.6%
Ethiopia29.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Guinea-Bissau
Average
5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
Guinea-BissauLast 10 gamesEthiopia0.80Points per game1.60
0.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Guinea-Bissau
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia
- 8 Oct 25Ethiopia 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
- 6 Jun 24Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia