Burkina Faso vs Sierra Leone prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 4Full time
Burkina Faso
2-2
Sierra Leone
Model's readStade 26 Mars
1 53%X 24%2 22%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.6%
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →
Burkina FasoLDLDW
Sierra LeoneLWDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedBurkina Faso favoured at 53%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.84 goals for Burkina Faso and 1.12 for Sierra Leone, giving 53% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.84 - 1.12
- Clean sheet chance: Burkina Faso 33%, Sierra Leone 16%
Match result
1X2Burkina Faso53.5%
Draw24.1%
Sierra Leone22.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Burkina Faso
Average
5.2
Sierra Leone
Average
Burkina FasoLast 10 gamesSierra Leone1.40Points per game1.40
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.8Goals conceded per game1.1
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
30%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Burkina Faso
1
Draws
1
Sierra Leone
- 8 Oct 25Sierra Leone 0-1 Burkina Faso
- 10 Jun 24Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
- 15 Jan 96Sierra Leone 2-1 Burkina Faso