Djibouti vs Ethiopia prediction, World Cup Qualifying CAF
World Cup Qualifying CAF · Round 4Full time
Djibouti
1-1
Ethiopia
Model's readStade Ben M'Hamed El Abdi
1 36%X 27%2 36%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.0%
xG
1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
DjiboutiLLLLL
EthiopiaDWLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedDjibouti favoured at 36%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.35 goals for Djibouti and 1.35 for Ethiopia, giving 36% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.35 - 1.35
- Clean sheet chance: Djibouti 26%, Ethiopia 26%
Match result
1X2Djibouti36.4%
Draw27.2%
Ethiopia36.3%
Model rating
All ratings →3.6
Djibouti
Weak
5.7
Ethiopia
Above average
DjiboutiLast 10 gamesEthiopia0.30Points per game1.60
0.5Goals scored per game1.4
2.6Goals conceded per game1.3
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Djibouti
1
Draws
1
Ethiopia
- 24 Mar 25Ethiopia 6-1 Djibouti
- 9 Jun 24Djibouti 1-1 Ethiopia