Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
48%
The model gives Sudan a 47% chance to win, a draw 28%, and South Sudan 25%. Expected goals are 1.44 for Sudan and 0.96 for South Sudan, so a tight game is the base case. Treat it as a lean, not a lock.
Sudan
Average
South Sudan
Average
1
Sudan
1
Draws
0
South Sudan