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Georgia vs Ukraine prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 5Full time

Georgia

1-1

Sat, 16 Nov

Ukraine

Model's readBatumi
1 42%X 30%2 28%

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

79.2%

xG

1.3 – 1.0

Over 2.5

41%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →
GeorgiaDLDLW
UkraineLLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Georgia favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.30 goals for Georgia and 1.03 for Ukraine, giving 42% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
  • Expected goals: 1.30 - 1.03
  • Clean sheet chance: Georgia 36%, Ukraine 27%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Georgia v Ukraine

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Georgia41.6%
Draw30.1%
Ukraine28.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Georgia

Above average

5.2

Ukraine

Average

GeorgiaLast 10 gamesUkraine
1.00Points per game1.30
0.8Goals scored per game0.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
50%Failed to score30%

Recent results

GeorgiaDLDLW
  • 5 OctANN.Ireland0-0
  • 2 OctAHungary0-1
  • 28 SeptHUkraine0-0
  • 25 SeptHNN.Ireland0-1
  • 5 JunHBahrain2-0
  • 2 JunHRomania1-1
UkraineLLDWL
  • 5 OctHHungary1-2
  • 2 OctHNN.Ireland0-3
  • 28 SeptAGeorgia0-0
  • 25 SeptAHungary1-0
  • 7 JunADenmark1-2
  • 31 MayAPoland2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Georgia

5

Draws

5

Ukraine

  • 28 Sept 26Georgia 0-0 Ukraine
  • 16 Nov 24Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
  • 11 Oct 24Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
  • 9 Jun 15Georgia 1-2 Ukraine
  • 8 Sept 07Georgia 1-1 Ukraine
Every meeting between these two →