Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
54%
The model's strongest pick is Poland or draw (1X) at 77%, against a 72% norm for this competition. Poland are the favourites at 51% to win outright, but Ukraine's 23% away win is not negligible. Treat it as a lean, not a sure thing.
Poland
Average
Ukraine
Average
4
Poland
2
Draws
4
Ukraine