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Sweden vs Poland prediction, UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League · Round 2Full time

Sweden

3-1

Mon, 28 Sept

Poland

Model's readStrawberry Arena
1 47%X 25%2 28%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

72.4%

xG

1.8 – 1.3

Over 2.5

60%

Both score

62%

Form

Full stats →
SwedenWDWWL
PolandLWLDD

Match analysis

Enhanced

Sweden favoured at 47%, Poland 28%, draw 25%

The model makes Sweden the favourite, with a 47% chance of a home win against 28% for Poland and 25% for the draw. Expected goals are 1.77 for Sweden and 1.31 for Poland, and the model puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Poland's recent dip is already priced in.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Sweden v Poland

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Sweden47.2%
Draw25.2%
Poland27.6%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.6

Sweden

Above average

5.0

Poland

Average

SwedenLast 10 gamesPoland
1.50Points per game1.20
1.7Goals scored per game1.7
1.8Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

SwedenWDWWL
  • 5 OctARomania1-0
  • 2 OctABosnia-Herzegovina1-1
  • 28 SeptHPoland3-1
  • 25 SeptHRomania2-1
  • 30 JunAFrance0-3
  • 25 JunAJapan1-1
PolandLWLDD
  • 5 OctABosnia-Herzegovina0-1
  • 2 OctHRomania6-0
  • 28 SeptASweden1-3
  • 25 SeptHBosnia-Herzegovina0-0
  • 3 JunHNigeria2-2
  • 31 MayHUkraine0-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

8

Sweden

1

Draws

1

Poland

  • 28 Sept 26Sweden 3-1 Poland
  • 31 Mar 26Sweden 3-2 Poland
  • 29 Mar 22Poland 2-0 Sweden
  • 23 Jun 21Sweden 3-2 Poland
  • 5 Jun 04Sweden 3-1 Poland
Every meeting between these two →