Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
60%
The model gives Sweden a 64% chance of winning at home, against a 46% norm for this competition, which is why this is the strongest read. It expects 2.29 goals for Sweden and 1.09 for Romania. Romania have also taken only 0.7 points a game over their last six.
Sweden
Above average
Romania
Average
4
Sweden
2
Draws
1
Romania