Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

GrêmioDDLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vasco da Gama favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.62 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.07 for Grêmio, giving 49% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.62 - 1.07
Clean sheet chance: Vasco da Gama 34%, Grêmio 20%

Match result

1X2

Vasco da Gama49.4%

Draw26.4%

Grêmio24.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

4.7

Grêmio

Average

Vasco da GamaLast 10 games

Grêmio

1.50Points per game0.90

1.4Goals scored per game1.0

1.2Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets10%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

GrêmioDDLLL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo86′ 1-0	29	+33	63
2	Palmeiras90′ 4-0	29	+30	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense86′ 0-1	29	+7	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians90′ 0-4	29	-7	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio86′ 1-1	29	-8	30
18	Internacional86′ 1-1	29	-6	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18