Vitória vs São Paulo prediction, Brazilian Série A
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
59.8%
xG
1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
47%
Form
Full stats →
VitóriaLWLDW
São PauloWLLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedVitória favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.25 goals for Vitória and 1.04 for São Paulo, giving 40% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.04
- Clean sheet chance: Vitória 36%, São Paulo 29%
Match result
1X2Vitória40.2%
Draw30.1%
São Paulo29.7%
Model rating
All ratings →4.8
Vitória
Average
5.2
São Paulo
Average
VitóriaLast 10 gamesSão Paulo1.00Points per game1.30
1.1Goals scored per game1.0
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.