Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

77.1%

xG

0.9 – 1.4

Over 2.5

41%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

GrêmioDDLLL

PalmeirasWDWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Palmeiras favoured at 48%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.90 goals for Grêmio and 1.42 for Palmeiras, giving 23% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 0.90 - 1.42
Clean sheet chance: Grêmio 24%, Palmeiras 41%

Match result

1X2

Grêmio22.9%

Draw28.8%

Palmeiras48.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.7

Grêmio

Average

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

GrêmioLast 10 games

Palmeiras

0.90Points per game1.60

1.0Goals scored per game1.5

1.4Goals conceded per game0.7

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets60%

40%Failed to score30%

Recent results

GrêmioDDLLL

PalmeirasWDWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8▲	São Paulo84′ 2-1	28	+3	39
9▼	Santos	27	+1	38
10▼	Coritiba	28	-6	38
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória84′ 1-2	29	-15	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18