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Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 29Full time

Bournemouth

1-2

Sat, 15 Mar

Brentford

Model's readVitality Stadium
1 44%X 27%2 29%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

79.2%

xG

1.6 – 1.3

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
BournemouthLLWDW
BrentfordDWWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Bournemouth favoured at 44%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.60 goals for Bournemouth and 1.27 for Brentford, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.60 - 1.27
  • Clean sheet chance: Bournemouth 28%, Brentford 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bournemouth v Brentford

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bournemouth43.8%
Draw26.9%
Brentford29.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Bournemouth

Above average

6.3

Brentford

Above average

BournemouthLast 10 gamesBrentford
1.10Points per game1.80
1.5Goals scored per game2.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

BournemouthLLWDW
  • 10 OctAChelsea1-5
  • 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
  • 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
  • 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
  • 8 SeptHLincoln City4-0
  • 5 SeptANewcastle United2-2
BrentfordDWWDD
  • 10 OctAAston Villa2-2
  • 18 SeptHChelsea3-0
  • 15 SeptAReading2-1
  • 12 SeptABournemouth2-2
  • 5 SeptHSunderland1-1
  • 30 AugALeeds United1-1

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal6+515
3Brighton and Hove Albion6+1313
4Brentford6+610
5Chelsea6+210
6Leeds United6+39
7Liverpool5+39
8Everton5+39
9Ipswich Town6-39
10Hull City5+28
11Newcastle United508
12Manchester United606
13Nottingham Forest5-15
14Aston Villa6-55
15Crystal Palace5-54
16Sunderland6-64
17Bournemouth6-63
18Tottenham Hotspur6-63
19Coventry City5-93
20Fulham6-42
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Bournemouth

4

Draws

6

Brentford

  • 12 Sept 26Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
  • 3 Mar 26Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
  • 27 Dec 25Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth
  • 26 Aug 25Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford
  • 15 Mar 25Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Every meeting between these two →