Brentford vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 5Full time
Brentford
3-0
Chelsea
Model's readBrentford Community Stadium
1 43%X 26%2 31%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.0%
xG
1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →BrentfordDWWDDChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
EnhancedBrentford narrowly favoured over Chelsea at 43%
The model makes Brentford the pick at 43%, with Chelsea at 31% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals are 1.66 for Brentford and 1.40 for Chelsea, and over 2.5 goals sits at 59%. Treat it as a lean, not a lock, because the gap is modest.
Match result
1X2Brentford42.7%
Draw26.0%
Chelsea31.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Brentford
Above average
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
BrentfordLast 10 gamesChelsea1.80Points per game1.90
2.3Goals scored per game2.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals90%
80%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11▲ |  Manchester United68′ 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12▼ |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18▲ |  Tottenham Hotspur68′ 0-0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19▼ |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20▼ |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Brentford
4
Draws
2
Chelsea
- 18 Sept 26Brentford 3-0 Chelsea
- 17 Jan 26Chelsea 2-0 Brentford
- 13 Sept 25Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
- 6 Apr 25Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
- 15 Dec 24Chelsea 2-1 Brentford