Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

75.4%

xG

1.6 – 1.5

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

61%

Form

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Atlético MadridWWWWL

Real MadridWLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Madrid favoured at 39%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.55 goals for Atlético Madrid and 1.48 for Real Madrid, giving 39% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.55 - 1.48
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Madrid 23%, Real Madrid 21%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Madrid39.3%

Draw24.6%

Real Madrid36.1%

Model rating

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Atlético Madrid

Not rated yet

8.2

Real Madrid

Strong

Atlético MadridLast 10 games

Real Madrid

1.90Points per game2.40

2.0Goals scored per game2.5

1.5Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Over 2.5 goals80%

60%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Atlético MadridWWWWL

Real MadridWLWWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6▲	Real Sociedad 3-2	8	-3	13
7▼	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
8▼	Deportivo de A Coruña 2-3	8	+1	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4