Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés prediction, Spanish La Liga
Spanish La Liga · Round 18Full time
Valencia
2-2
Deportivo Alavés
Model's readEstadio de Mestalla
1 39%X 28%2 33%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
77.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →ValenciaLWLLLDeportivo AlavésLDLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedValencia favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.26 goals for Valencia and 1.15 for Deportivo Alavés, giving 39% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.26 - 1.15
- Clean sheet chance: Valencia 32%, Deportivo Alavés 28%
Match result
1X2Valencia38.6%
Draw28.1%
Deportivo Alavés33.3%
Model rating
All ratings →4.9
Valencia
Average
5.3
Deportivo Alavés
Average
ValenciaLast 10 gamesDeportivo Alavés1.10Points per game1.40
1.2Goals scored per game1.4
1.8Goals conceded per game1.0
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
ValenciaLWLLLSpanish La Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruña | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 8 | -9 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.