Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletic Bilbao favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.48 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.03 for Deportivo Alavés, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.03
Clean sheet chance: Athletic Bilbao 36%, Deportivo Alavés 23%

Match result

1X2

Athletic Bilbao47.4%

Draw26.6%

Deportivo Alavés26.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

5.3

Deportivo Alavés

Average

Athletic BilbaoLast 10 games

Deportivo Alavés

1.00Points per game1.40

1.0Goals scored per game1.4

1.3Goals conceded per game1.0

30%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored50%

40%Clean sheets40%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Deportivo AlavésLDLLW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3▲	Real Betis38′ 2-0	8	+4	19
4▼	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna38′ 0-2	8	-9	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4