Lille vs Toulouse Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

78.0%

xG

1.7 – 1.0

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

LilleWLWLW

ToulouseDWDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Lille favoured at 52%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.65 goals for Lille and 0.99 for Toulouse, giving 52% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.65 - 0.99
Clean sheet chance: Lille 37%, Toulouse 19%

Match result

1X2

Lille52.1%

Draw25.9%

Toulouse22.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.9

Lille

Above average

5.3

Toulouse

Average

LilleLast 10 games

Toulouse

1.70Points per game1.40

1.3Goals scored per game1.5

1.0Goals conceded per game1.5

30%Over 2.5 goals70%

40%Both teams scored70%

50%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

LilleWLWLW

ToulouseDWDLD

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12▲	Marseille 1-0	6	0	6
13▼	Le Mans	6	-2	6
14▼	Toulouse	6	-2	6
15▼	Auxerre	5	-5	6
16▼	Nice	5	-3	5
17▼	Troyes 0-1	6	-8	4
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2