AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.2%
xG
1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →
AZ AlkmaarLWLDW
HeerenveenLWDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.93 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.23 for Heerenveen, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.93 - 1.23
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 29%, Heerenveen 14%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar52.5%
Draw24.7%
Heerenveen22.8%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
5.8
Heerenveen
Above average
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesHeerenveen2.00Points per game1.00
2.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.4
40%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 2▼ | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  Utrecht67′ 1-1 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 13▼ |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17▲ |  Willem II67′ 1-1 | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 18▼ |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
AZ Alkmaar
2
Draws
2
Heerenveen
- 6 Sept 26Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
- 12 Apr 26AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heerenveen
- 23 Nov 25Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 2 Mar 25Heerenveen 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
- 14 Sept 24AZ Alkmaar 9-1 Heerenveen