Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
63%
The model makes Feyenoord the most likely winner at 48%, with AZ Alkmaar at 26% and a draw at 25%. Expected goals are 1.86 for Feyenoord and 1.33 for AZ, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. These are probabilities, not guarantees.
Feyenoord
Strong
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +12 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | +16 | 19 | |
| 3 | 7 | +18 | 17 | |
| 4 | 7 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 | 7 | +12 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 13 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
7
Feyenoord
2
Draws
1
AZ Alkmaar