Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin prediction, German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga · Round 9Full time
Bayern Munich
3-0
Union Berlin
Model's readAllianz Arena
1 87%X 9%2 4%
Our pick
Over 3.5 Goals
61.9%
xG
3.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5
80%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →Bayern MunichDWWWDUnion BerlinWLLLDMatch analysis
EnhancedBayern Munich strong favourites; Over 3.5 the top read
The model gives Bayern Munich an 87% chance to win, with 3.51 expected goals against 0.77 for Union Berlin. Its strongest selection is Over 3.5 goals at 62%, against a 42% norm in this competition, and that gap is what makes it the standout read. These are model probabilities, not guarantees.
Match result
1X2Bayern Munich86.6%
Draw9.1%
Union Berlin4.3%
Model rating
All ratings →9.4
Bayern Munich
Elite
4.2
Union Berlin
Average
Bayern MunichLast 10 gamesUnion Berlin2.20Points per game1.10
3.1Goals scored per game1.6
0.9Goals conceded per game2.5
70%Over 2.5 goals90%
60%Both teams scored60%
40%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Bayern Munich
3
Draws
0
Union Berlin
- 18 Sept 26Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
- 21 Mar 26Bayern Munich 4-0 Union Berlin
- 8 Nov 25Union Berlin 2-2 Bayern Munich
- 15 Mar 25Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern Munich
- 2 Nov 24Bayern Munich 3-0 Union Berlin