Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga · Round 12Full time
Union Berlin
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Model's readAlten Försterei
1 27%X 24%2 49%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
73.2%
xG
1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
64%
Form
Full stats →Union BerlinWLLLDBayer LeverkusenWWWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedBayer Leverkusen favoured at 49%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.36 goals for Union Berlin and 1.90 for Bayer Leverkusen, giving 27% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.36 - 1.90
- Clean sheet chance: Union Berlin 15%, Bayer Leverkusen 26%
Match result
1X2Union Berlin26.8%
Draw23.7%
Bayer Leverkusen49.4%
Model rating
All ratings →4.2
Union Berlin
Average
7.1
Bayer Leverkusen
Strong
Union BerlinLast 10 gamesBayer Leverkusen1.10Points per game2.00
1.6Goals scored per game2.4
2.5Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 5 | +12 | 11 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  Augsburg | 5 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Mainz | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Elversberg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Stuttgart | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Hamburg | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13▲ |  Köln45′ 1-1 | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 14▼ |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  Paderborn | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Hoffenheim | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach45′ 1-1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Union Berlin
3
Draws
6
Bayer Leverkusen
- 5 Sept 26Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin
- 21 Feb 26Union Berlin 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen
- 4 Oct 25Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin
- 12 Apr 25Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin
- 30 Nov 24Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen