AC Milan vs Lecce prediction, Italian Serie A
Our pick
Home Win
60.0%
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
AC MilanWLDDW
LecceLWLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedAC Milan favoured at 60%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.70 goals for AC Milan and 0.76 for Lecce, giving 60% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.70 - 0.76
- Clean sheet chance: AC Milan 47%, Lecce 18%
Match result
1X2AC Milan60.0%
Draw23.1%
Lecce16.9%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
AC Milan
Strong
4.4
Lecce
Average
AC MilanLast 10 gamesLecce1.40Points per game1.50
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Italian Serie A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma66′ 0-0 | 6 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 |  Inter Milan | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6▲ |  Como66′ 0-0 | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 7▼ |  Frosinone | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 8▼ |  Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Parma | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 10 meetings8
AC Milan
2
Draws
0
Lecce
- 20 Sept 26AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
- 18 Jan 26AC Milan 1-0 Lecce
- 23 Sept 25AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
- 29 Aug 25Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
- 8 Mar 25Lecce 2-3 AC Milan