Casa Pia vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

72.0%

xG

1.0 – 1.4

Over 2.5

43%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →

Casa PiaLWLDL

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória de Guimarães favoured at 45%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.02 goals for Casa Pia and 1.38 for Vitória de Guimarães, giving 28% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.02 - 1.38
Clean sheet chance: Casa Pia 25%, Vitória de Guimarães 36%

Match result

1X2

Casa Pia28.0%

Draw26.6%

Vitória de Guimarães45.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

3.8

Casa Pia

Weak

4.7

Vitória de Guimarães

Average

Casa PiaLast 10 games

Vitória de Guimarães

0.80Points per game0.50

0.5Goals scored per game0.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.6

30%Over 2.5 goals30%

20%Both teams scored40%

30%Clean sheets20%

70%Failed to score50%

Recent results

Casa PiaLWLDL

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2