Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

77.6%

xG

1.7 – 1.2

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Rio AveLDLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Estrela Amadora favoured at 48%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.66 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.20 for Rio Ave, giving 48% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.66 - 1.20
Clean sheet chance: Estrela Amadora 30%, Rio Ave 19%

Match result

1X2

Estrela Amadora48.5%

Draw23.8%

Rio Ave27.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

4.1

Rio Ave

Average

Estrela AmadoraLast 10 games

Rio Ave

1.20Points per game0.60

1.8Goals scored per game0.7

1.9Goals conceded per game2.0

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

80%Both teams scored30%

10%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score60%

Recent results

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Rio AveLDLLW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2