Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

77.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.4

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →

Rio AveLDLLW

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Estrela Amadora favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.38 goals for Rio Ave and 1.45 for Estrela Amadora, giving 36% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.38 - 1.45
Clean sheet chance: Rio Ave 24%, Estrela Amadora 25%

Match result

1X2

Rio Ave36.2%

Draw24.7%

Estrela Amadora39.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.1

Rio Ave

Average

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

Rio AveLast 10 games

Estrela Amadora

0.60Points per game1.20

0.7Goals scored per game1.8

2.0Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Over 2.5 goals80%

30%Both teams scored80%

20%Clean sheets10%

60%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Rio AveLDLLW

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
4	Benfica	7	+15	16
5	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
6	Arouca	7	+3	11
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14▲	Rio Ave 3-2	8	-9	7
15▼	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
16▼	Nacional de Madeira 2-3	8	-9	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2