Algeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 1Full time
Algeria
2-0
Equatorial Guinea
Model's readMustapha Tchaker Stadium
1 56%X 27%2 18%
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
79.0%
xG
1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
AlgeriaWLDWL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedAlgeria favoured at 56%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.57 goals for Algeria and 0.78 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 56% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.57 - 0.78
- Clean sheet chance: Algeria 46%, Equatorial Guinea 21%
Match result
1X2Algeria55.5%
Draw26.7%
Equatorial Guinea17.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Algeria
Above average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
AlgeriaLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea1.70Points per game1.10
1.9Goals scored per game0.7
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
30%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings2
Algeria
1
Draws
1
Equatorial Guinea
- 31 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 1-3 Algeria
- 14 Nov 24Equatorial Guinea 0-0 Algeria
- 5 Sept 24Algeria 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Jan 22Algeria 0-1 Equatorial Guinea