Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 5Full time
Equatorial Guinea
0-0
Algeria
Model's readNuevo Estadio de Malabo
1 18%X 27%2 56%
Our pick
Away Win
55.5%
xG
0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
43%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
AlgeriaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedAlgeria favoured at 56%, in a middling game
The model projects 0.78 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 1.57 for Algeria, giving 18% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 56% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 0.78 - 1.57
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 21%, Algeria 46%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea17.8%
Draw26.7%
Algeria55.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
6.3
Algeria
Above average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesAlgeria1.10Points per game1.70
0.7Goals scored per game1.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.2
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 4 meetings1
Equatorial Guinea
1
Draws
2
Algeria
- 31 Dec 25Equatorial Guinea 1-3 Algeria
- 14 Nov 24Equatorial Guinea 0-0 Algeria
- 5 Sept 24Algeria 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 16 Jan 22Algeria 0-1 Equatorial Guinea