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Stoke vs Cardiff prediction, English FA Cup

English FA Cup · Round 4Full time

Stoke

3-3

Sat, 8 Feb

Cardiff

Model's readbet365 Stadium
1 34%X 26%2 40%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

78.0%

xG

1.4 – 1.5

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
StokeWWWDW
CardiffLWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Cardiff favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.36 goals for Stoke and 1.47 for Cardiff, giving 34% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.36 - 1.47
  • Clean sheet chance: Stoke 23%, Cardiff 26%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Stoke v Cardiff

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Stoke34.2%
Draw26.3%
Cardiff39.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Stoke

Average

4.2

Cardiff

Average

StokeLast 10 gamesCardiff
1.70Points per game0.70
1.6Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
80%Both teams scored80%
20%Clean sheets0%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

StokeWWWDW
  • 10 OctABolton Wanderers2-1
  • 19 SeptHSheffield United2-1
  • 12 SeptAWatford2-1
  • 8 SeptACardiff1-1
  • 5 SeptHCharlton Athletic4-0
  • 1 SeptHNorwich1-0
CardiffLWLDL
  • 10 OctABlackburn Rovers1-2
  • 19 SeptHCharlton Athletic3-1
  • 12 SeptABolton Wanderers0-1
  • 8 SeptHStoke1-1
  • 5 SeptAPortsmouth0-2
  • 2 SeptAQueens Park Rangers1-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1

Stoke

7

Draws

2

Cardiff

  • 8 Sept 26Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
  • 12 Apr 25Cardiff 0-1 Stoke
  • 8 Feb 25Stoke 3-3 Cardiff
  • 14 Dec 24Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
  • 24 Feb 24Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Every meeting between these two →