Atlético Mineiro vs São Paulo Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Under 3.5 Goals

78.8%

xG

1.5 – 0.9

Over 2.5

42%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

São PauloWLLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Mineiro favoured at 50%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.46 goals for Atlético Mineiro and 0.89 for São Paulo, giving 50% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 22% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.46 - 0.89
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Mineiro 41%, São Paulo 23%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Mineiro49.7%

Draw28.3%

São Paulo22.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

5.2

São Paulo

Average

Atlético MineiroLast 10 games

São Paulo

1.90Points per game1.30

1.6Goals scored per game1.0

1.0Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored50%

30%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

São PauloWLLWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18