Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.8%

xG

1.6 – 0.8

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

VitóriaWLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Mineiro favoured at 54%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.60 goals for Atlético Mineiro and 0.85 for Vitória, giving 54% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.60 - 0.85
Clean sheet chance: Atlético Mineiro 43%, Vitória 20%

Match result

1X2

Atlético Mineiro54.4%

Draw26.6%

Vitória19.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

4.8

Vitória

Average

Atlético MineiroLast 10 games

Vitória

1.90Points per game1.00

1.6Goals scored per game1.0

1.0Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored30%

30%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

VitóriaWLDWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8▲	São Paulo 2-1	28	+3	39
9▼	Santos	27	+1	38
10▼	Coritiba	28	-6	38
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória 1-2	29	-15	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18