Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

78.9%

xG

1.9 – 1.0

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

CruzeiroWWLWL

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Cruzeiro favoured at 57%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.87 goals for Cruzeiro and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama, giving 57% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 19% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.87 - 1.00
Clean sheet chance: Cruzeiro 37%, Vasco da Gama 15%

Match result

1X2

Cruzeiro57.0%

Draw23.8%

Vasco da Gama19.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.3

Cruzeiro

Strong

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

CruzeiroLast 10 games

Vasco da Gama

2.10Points per game1.50

1.8Goals scored per game1.4

1.1Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored50%

20%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

CruzeiroWWLWL

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo62′ 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras66′ 4-0	29	+30	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense62′ 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians66′ 0-4	29	-7	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional62′ 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio62′ 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18