Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

78.5%

xG

1.3 – 1.0

Over 2.5

42%

Both score

48%

Form

Full stats →

VitóriaLWLDW

GrêmioDDLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.34 goals for Vitória and 1.03 for Grêmio, giving 43% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.34 - 1.03
Clean sheet chance: Vitória 36%, Grêmio 26%

Match result

1X2

Vitória42.7%

Draw29.3%

Grêmio28.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.8

Vitória

Average

4.7

Grêmio

Average

VitóriaLast 10 games

Grêmio

1.00Points per game0.90

1.1Goals scored per game1.0

1.7Goals conceded per game1.4

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

VitóriaLWLDW

GrêmioDDLLL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18