Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

79.3%

xG

1.9 – 1.0

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

FluminenseWWLWD

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Fluminense favoured at 58%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.91 goals for Fluminense and 0.99 for Vasco da Gama, giving 58% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.91 - 0.99
Clean sheet chance: Fluminense 37%, Vasco da Gama 15%

Match result

1X2

Fluminense58.1%

Draw23.5%

Vasco da Gama18.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.4

Fluminense

Strong

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

FluminenseLast 10 games

Vasco da Gama

1.90Points per game1.50

1.9Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

60%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored50%

30%Clean sheets30%

10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

FluminenseWWLWD

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 1-0	29	+33	63
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-1	29	+7	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio 1-1	29	-8	30
18	Internacional 1-1	29	-6	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18