Grêmio vs Botafogo Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

74.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

GrêmioDDLLL

BotafogoLLWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Grêmio favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.40 goals for Grêmio and 1.20 for Botafogo, giving 41% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.20
Clean sheet chance: Grêmio 30%, Botafogo 25%

Match result

1X2

Grêmio40.6%

Draw28.0%

Botafogo31.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.7

Grêmio

Average

5.9

Botafogo

Above average

GrêmioLast 10 games

Botafogo

0.90Points per game0.90

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.4Goals conceded per game1.5

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

60%Both teams scored50%

10%Clean sheets20%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

GrêmioDDLLL

BotafogoLLWDD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18