São Paulo vs Vitória prediction, Brazilian Série A
Brazilian Série A · Round 19Full time
São Paulo
2-0
Vitória
Model's readEstádio do Morumbi
1 49%X 29%2 23%
Our pick Strong
Under 3.5 Goals
79.5%
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
41%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →São PauloLLWLWVitóriaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedSão Paulo favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for São Paulo and 0.89 for Vitória, giving 49% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 0.89
- Clean sheet chance: São Paulo 41%, Vitória 24%
Match result
1X2São Paulo48.7%
Draw28.7%
Vitória22.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
São Paulo
Average
4.8
Vitória
Average
São PauloLast 10 gamesVitória1.10Points per game1.00
0.9Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored30%
20%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8▲ | São Paulo82′ 2-1 | 28 | +3 | 39 |
| 9▼ |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 10▼ |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 11▼ |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória82′ 1-2 | 29 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.