Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
49%
The model projects 1.03 goals for Mirassol and 1.38 for Palmeiras, giving 27% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 44% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Mirassol
Above average
Palmeiras
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | |
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | |
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8▲ | 28 | +3 | 39 | |
| 9▼ | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 10▼ | 28 | -6 | 38 | |
| 11▼ | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | |
| 13 | 29 | -15 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | |
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | |
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | |
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | |
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 |
1
Mirassol
2
Draws
1
Palmeiras