
Newcastle United
4-3

Leeds United
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
58%
The model gives Newcastle United a 42% chance of winning, against 31% for Leeds United and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.54 for Newcastle and 1.31 for Leeds. Over 2.5 goals sits at 54%, so the goals markets offer little clear edge.
Newcastle United
Above average
Leeds United
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +8 | 15 | |
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 12 | |
| 3 | 5 | +11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | +4 | 9 | |
| 6 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 5 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11▲ | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 12▼ | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 14 | 5 | -4 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | -5 | 4 | |
| 17 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 18▲ | 6 | -6 | 3 | |
| 19▼ | 5 | -9 | 3 | |
| 20▼ | 5 | -3 | 2 |
2
Newcastle United
5
Draws
3
Leeds United