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Newcastle United vs Leeds United prediction, English Premier League

English Premier League · Round 21Full time

Newcastle United

4-3

Wed, 7 Jan

Leeds United

Model's readSt James Park
1 42%X 27%2 31%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

78.8%

xG

1.5 – 1.3

Over 2.5

54%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
Newcastle UnitedWLWDW
Leeds UnitedLDWLD

Match analysis

Enhanced

Newcastle favoured at 42%, but far from certain

The model gives Newcastle United a 42% chance of winning, against 31% for Leeds United and 27% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.54 for Newcastle and 1.31 for Leeds. Over 2.5 goals sits at 54%, so the goals markets offer little clear edge.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Newcastle United v Leeds United

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Newcastle United41.7%
Draw27.2%
Leeds United31.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.8

Newcastle United

Above average

5.8

Leeds United

Above average

Newcastle UnitedLast 10 gamesLeeds United
1.80Points per game1.50
1.7Goals scored per game1.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
70%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Newcastle UnitedWLWDW
  • 19 SeptHHull City2-1
  • 14 SeptALeeds United1-4
  • 8 SeptAMillwall1-0
  • 5 SeptHBournemouth2-2
  • 29 AugATottenham Hotspur2-0
  • 26 AugHWest Brom3-2
Leeds UnitedLDWLD
  • 10 OctAArsenal1-2
  • 20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0
  • 14 SeptHNewcastle United4-1
  • 9 SeptAChelsea3-6
  • 5 SeptABrighton and Hove Albion1-1
  • 30 AugHBrentford1-1

English Premier League

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal5+412
3Brighton and Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford5+69
5Leeds United5+49
6Liverpool5+39
7Everton5+39
8Hull City5+28
9Newcastle United508
10Chelsea5-27
11▲Manchester United8′ 0-0606
12▼Ipswich Town5-46
13Nottingham Forest5-15
14Sunderland5-44
15Crystal Palace5-54
16Aston Villa5-54
17Bournemouth5-23
18▲Tottenham Hotspur8′ 0-06-63
19▼Coventry City5-93
20▼Fulham5-32
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Newcastle United

5

Draws

3

Leeds United

  • 14 Sept 26Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
  • 7 Jan 26Newcastle United 4-3 Leeds United
  • 30 Aug 25Leeds United 0-0 Newcastle United
  • 13 May 23Leeds United 2-2 Newcastle United
  • 31 Dec 22Newcastle United 0-0 Leeds United
Every meeting between these two →