Arsenal vs Leeds United Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.7 – 0.8

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

ArsenalLWWWW

Leeds UnitedDWLDD

Match analysis

Enhanced

Under 3.5 goals is the model's strongest read

The model's strongest selection is Under 3.5 Goals at 76%, against a 65% norm in this competition. The gap over that norm matters more than the raw figure. Arsenal are favourites at 58% to win, but the goals market is where the model's signal is clearest.

Match result

1X2

Arsenal58.0%

Draw25.9%

Leeds United16.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.3

Arsenal

Strong

5.8

Leeds United

Above average

ArsenalLast 10 games

Leeds United

2.50Points per game1.60

1.7Goals scored per game1.4

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

40%Both teams scored50%

50%Clean sheets40%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ArsenalLWWWW

Leeds UnitedDWLDD

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal1′ 0-0	6	+4	13
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4▲	Leeds United1′ 0-0	6	+4	10
5▼	Brentford	5	+6	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2