NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

71.8%

xG

1.8 – 1.4

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

64%

Form

Full stats →

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

ExcelsiorDLDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

NEC Nijmegen favoured at 46%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.81 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.39 for Excelsior, giving 46% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.81 - 1.39
Clean sheet chance: NEC Nijmegen 25%, Excelsior 16%

Match result

1X2

NEC Nijmegen46.2%

Draw25.5%

Excelsior28.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.0

NEC Nijmegen

Above average

5.4

Excelsior

Average

NEC NijmegenLast 10 games

Excelsior

0.90Points per game1.80

1.3Goals scored per game2.2

2.3Goals conceded per game1.4

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

70%Both teams scored80%

0%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score0%

Recent results

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

ExcelsiorDLDWW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2