Utrecht vs Excelsior prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 3Full time
Utrecht
4-1
Excelsior
Model's readStadion Galgenwaard
1 41%X 26%2 33%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.0%
xG
1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →UtrechtWLWDLExcelsiorLDLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedUtrecht favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.69 goals for Utrecht and 1.51 for Excelsior, giving 41% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.69 - 1.51
- Clean sheet chance: Utrecht 22%, Excelsior 19%
Match result
1X2Utrecht40.7%
Draw26.0%
Excelsior33.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Utrecht
Above average
5.4
Excelsior
Average
UtrechtLast 10 gamesExcelsior1.20Points per game1.50
1.7Goals scored per game2.0
2.7Goals conceded per game1.7
90%Over 2.5 goals90%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Utrecht
5
Draws
1
Excelsior
- 13 Sept 26Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht
- 26 Apr 26Excelsior 5-0 Utrecht
- 24 Aug 25Utrecht 4-1 Excelsior
- 27 Jan 24Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
- 12 Nov 23Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior