AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.0%

xG

2.1 – 1.2

Over 2.5

65%

Both score

63%

Form

Full stats →

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

UtrechtWLWDL

Match analysis

Model generated

AZ Alkmaar favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.09 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.24 for Utrecht, giving 56% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.09 - 1.24
Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 29%, Utrecht 12%

Match result

1X2

AZ Alkmaar55.6%

Draw23.3%

Utrecht21.0%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.2

AZ Alkmaar

Strong

5.7

Utrecht

Above average

AZ AlkmaarLast 10 games

Utrecht

2.00Points per game1.20

2.1Goals scored per game1.7

1.2Goals conceded per game2.7

40%Over 2.5 goals90%

50%Both teams scored80%

30%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

AZ AlkmaarLWLDW

UtrechtWLWDL

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	+20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	+10	19
4	Twente	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	+12	15
6	Fortuna Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	8	+2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	-7	6
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2