Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

63.8%

xG

1.6 – 1.6

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

65%

Form

Full stats →

ExcelsiorDLDWW

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

Match analysis

Model generated

NEC Nijmegen favoured at 38%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.58 goals for Excelsior and 1.61 for NEC Nijmegen, giving 36% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.61
Clean sheet chance: Excelsior 20%, NEC Nijmegen 21%

Match result

1X2

Excelsior36.2%

Draw26.2%

NEC Nijmegen37.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.4

Excelsior

Average

6.0

NEC Nijmegen

Above average

ExcelsiorLast 10 games

NEC Nijmegen

1.80Points per game0.90

2.2Goals scored per game1.3

1.4Goals conceded per game2.3

90%Over 2.5 goals80%

80%Both teams scored70%

20%Clean sheets0%

0%Failed to score30%

Recent results

ExcelsiorDLDWW

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2