Groningen vs Excelsior prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
70.9%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
GroningenWDDLL
ExcelsiorDLDWWMatch analysis
EnhancedGroningen favoured at 44%, goals look likely
The model gives Groningen the edge at 44% to win, against 29% for Excelsior and 27% for a draw. It expects 3.02 goals in total, which puts over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 61%. Goals look the stronger side of this match, but these are model probabilities, not certainties.
Match result
1X2Groningen44.2%
Draw26.7%
Excelsior29.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.8
Groningen
Above average
5.4
Excelsior
Average
GroningenLast 10 gamesExcelsior1.70Points per game1.80
1.9Goals scored per game2.2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.4
80%Over 2.5 goals90%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Groningen
1
Draws
4
Excelsior
- 2 May 26Groningen 2-3 Excelsior
- 5 Dec 25Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
- 25 Feb 23Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
- 8 Jan 23Excelsior 1-0 Groningen
- 6 Apr 19Groningen 1-0 Excelsior