Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 34Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
2-3
Excelsior
Model's readSpartastadion
1 32%X 27%2 41%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.8%
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Sparta RotterdamDLLDLExcelsiorDLDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedExcelsior favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.40 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.60 for Excelsior, giving 32% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.60
- Clean sheet chance: Sparta Rotterdam 20%, Excelsior 25%
Match result
1X2Sparta Rotterdam32.2%
Draw27.0%
Excelsior40.8%
Model rating
All ratings →4.4
Sparta Rotterdam
Average
5.4
Excelsior
Average
Sparta RotterdamLast 10 gamesExcelsior0.60Points per game1.80
1.5Goals scored per game2.2
2.7Goals conceded per game1.4
90%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored80%
0%Clean sheets20%
30%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Sparta Rotterdam
1
Draws
5
Excelsior
- 29 Aug 26Excelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 17 May 26Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Excelsior
- 14 Sept 25Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 17 Feb 24Sparta Rotterdam 4-2 Excelsior
- 1 Oct 23Excelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam