Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 5Full time
Southampton
0-0
Portsmouth
Model's readSt. Mary's Stadium
1 59%X 23%2 18%
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
77.0%
xG
2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →SouthamptonWLWWDPortsmouthLDDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedSouthampton favoured at 59%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.99 goals for Southampton and 1.04 for Portsmouth, giving 59% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.99 - 1.04
- Clean sheet chance: Southampton 35%, Portsmouth 14%
Match result
1X2Southampton58.5%
Draw23.0%
Portsmouth18.5%
Model rating
All ratings →7.5
Southampton
Strong
5.1
Portsmouth
Average
SouthamptonLast 10 gamesPortsmouth1.70Points per game0.90
2.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals50%
90%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 8 meetings2
Southampton
4
Draws
2
Portsmouth
- 25 Jan 26Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton
- 14 Sept 25Southampton 0-0 Portsmouth
- 7 Apr 12Southampton 2-2 Portsmouth
- 18 Dec 11Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton
- 24 Apr 05Portsmouth 4-1 Southampton