Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction — German Bundesliga

Our pick

Home Win

67.6%

xG

2.4 – 1.0

Over 2.5

67%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW

Union BerlinWLLLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Bayer Leverkusen favoured at 68%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.43 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.03 for Union Berlin, giving 68% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 14% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.43 - 1.03
Clean sheet chance: Bayer Leverkusen 36%, Union Berlin 9%

Match result

1X2

Bayer Leverkusen67.6%

Draw18.7%

Union Berlin13.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.1

Bayer Leverkusen

Strong

4.2

Union Berlin

Average

Bayer LeverkusenLast 10 games

Union Berlin

2.00Points per game1.10

2.4Goals scored per game1.6

1.4Goals conceded per game2.5

70%Over 2.5 goals90%

70%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW

Union BerlinWLLLD

German Bundesliga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	5	+7	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	+12	11
3	Freiburg77′ 1-1	5	+9	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	+6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	+10	9
6	Augsburg	5	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	0	8
8	Mainz	5	+3	7
9	Elversberg	5	0	7
10	Stuttgart	5	-1	6
11▲	Schalke 0477′ 1-1	5	-1	6
12▼	Hamburg	5	-10	6
13	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	-7	5
14	Köln	4	-3	4
15	Paderborn	5	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	-12	4
17	Hoffenheim	5	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	-10	0